Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.556442 15.828584 18.306450 21.201759 24.484052 28.081404 32.314074
2025-06-01 9.349193 12.337363 15.939780 20.565558 26.306869 33.154860 41.892571
2025-06-08 6.734181 9.832076 13.883783 19.489622 26.950300 36.433401 49.276380
2025-06-15 5.645833 8.948535 13.559361 20.323181 29.820713 42.485648 60.412702
2025-06-22 4.725527 8.071420 13.024944 20.677108 31.934422 47.574885 70.555992
2025-06-29 3.845470 7.062513 12.101099 20.273844 32.828961 50.941481 78.471142
2025-07-06 3.075049 6.067883 11.020648 19.440598 32.918099 53.059430 84.649236
2025-07-13 2.827364 5.907862 11.232127 20.620830 36.131439 59.941662 98.180542
2025-07-20 2.589034 5.716613 11.351215 21.636004 39.135733 66.674977 111.875083
2025-07-27 2.322723 5.421124 11.238780 22.225000 41.464094 72.476829 124.452787
2025-08-03 2.035944 5.030042 10.893120 22.350016 42.996288 77.075898 135.373759
2025-08-10 1.717481 4.509916 10.227292 21.806955 43.304004 79.664475 143.180116
2025-08-17 1.418957 3.995060 9.542226 21.235857 43.669300 82.641355 152.286773
2025-08-24 1.165633 3.530940 8.897471 20.682961 44.056071 85.762282 162.000337
2025-08-31 0.920038 3.019066 8.057713 19.615581 43.351579 86.902550 168.397163
2025-09-07 0.840843 2.924517 8.133218 20.456253 46.392020 94.912454 187.188506
2025-09-14 0.742897 2.751529 7.995007 20.812610 48.491942 101.332016 203.522560
2025-09-21 0.620493 2.470410 7.543194 20.407136 48.992278 104.793124 214.713817
2025-09-28 0.499846 2.154805 6.942083 19.569163 48.492068 106.293934 222.368659
2025-10-05 0.476474 2.157707 7.182646 20.756104 52.418012 116.586144 246.924936
2025-10-12 0.447986 2.134783 7.348371 21.777005 56.059119 126.523503 271.298667
2025-10-19 0.407670 2.056163 7.343469 22.369306 58.791572 134.803648 292.912800
2025-10-26 0.358324 1.926122 7.165388 22.495022 60.473377 141.053243 310.909018